Marka dib-u-soo-kabashada dhaqaale ay la kulanto ciribtirka silsiladda sahayda, iyada oo xilliga kuleylka jiilaalka uu soo socdo, cadaadiska warshadaha tamarta Yurub ayaa kor u kacaya, iyo sicir-bararka gaaska dabiiciga ah iyo qiimaha korontada ayaa sii kordhaya, waxaana jira calaamad yar. in xaaladdan la wanaajin doono muddo gaaban gudaheed.
Marka la eego cadaadiska, dowlado badan oo Yurub ah ayaa qaaday tillaabooyin, inta badan iyada oo loo marayo dhimista canshuuraha, soo saarista foojarrada isticmaalka iyo la dagaalanka mala-awaalka ganacsiga kaarboonka.
Jiilaalkii weli ma soo gaadhin, qiimihii gaaska iyo qiimihii shidaalkana waxa ay gaadheen heerkii ugu sarreeyay
Marka cimiladu sii qabowdo oo ay sii qabowdo, qiimaha gaasta dabiiciga ah iyo korontada ee Yurub ayaa kor u kacay heerkii ugu sarreeyay.Khubarada ayaa guud ahaan saadaaliyay in yaraanta tamarta ee qaaradda Yurub oo dhan ay ka sii dari doonto.
Reuters ayaa ku warantay in tan iyo bishii Ogosto, qiimaha gaasta dabiiciga ah ee Yurub uu sare u kacay, taasoo sare u qaaday qiimaha korontada, dhuxusha tamarta iyo ilaha kale ee tamarta.Iyada oo halbeeg u ah ganacsiga gaasta dabiiciga ah ee Yurub, qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah ee xarunta TTF ee Nederlaan wuxuu kacay 175 euro/MWh Sebtembar 21, afar jeer ayuu ka sarreeyaa kii bishii Maarso.Iyada oo gaaska dabiiciga ahi gabaabsi yahay, qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah ee xarunta TTF ee Nederlaan ayaa wali kor u sii kacaya.
Koronto yaraan iyo kor u kaca qiimaha korontadu hadda maaha war.Hay’adda Tamarta Caalamiga ah ayaa bayaan ay soo saartay 21-kii Sebtembar ku sheegtay in toddobaadyadii la soo dhaafay, qiimaha Korontada ee Yurub uu kor u kacay heerkii ugu sarreeyay muddo toban sano ka badan, isla markaana uu suuqyo badan ku kacay in ka badan 100 euro / megawatt.
Qiimaha korontada ee Jarmalka iyo Faransiiska ayaa kordhay 36% iyo 48% siday u kala horreeyaan.Qiimaha korantada ee Boqortooyada Midowday (UK) wuxuu ka kacay £147/MWh ilaa £385/MWh dhawr toddobaad gudahood.Celcelis ahaan qiimaha jumlada ee korontada ee Spain iyo Portugal ayaa gaaray 175 euro/MWh, saddex jeer ayuuna ka badnaa lix bilood ka hor.
Talyaanigu hadda waa mid ka mid ah waddamada Yurub ee celceliska qiimaha ugu sarreeya ee iibka korontada.Shabakadda tamarta Talyaaniga iyo Xafiiska Kormeerka Deegaanka ayaa dhawaan soo saartay warbixin ku saabsan in tan iyo bishii Oktoobar, kharashka korontada ee qoysaska caadiga ah ee Talyaaniga la filayo inuu kordho 29.8%, kharashka gaaskana wuxuu kor u qaadi doonaa 14.4%.Hadii ay dawladdu soo faragelin waydo si ay u xakamayso qiimaha, labada qiima ee kor ku xusan waxa ay kor u kacayaan 45% iyo 30% siday u kala horreeyaan.
Siddeed shirkadood oo ka mid ah alaab-qeybiyeyaasha korontada ee Jarmalka ayaa kor u qaaday ama ku dhawaaqay qiimo koror, iyadoo celcelis ahaan kordhay 3.7%.UFC que choisir, oo ah urur macaamiisha Faransiiska ah, ayaa sidoo kale ka digay in qoysaska isticmaala kuleyliyaha korontada ee dalka ay bixin doonaan celcelis ahaan 150 euros dheeraad ah sannad kasta.Horaanta sanadka 2022, qiimaha korontada ee Faransiiska ayaa sidoo kale laga yaabaa inuu sare u kaco.
Iyadoo qiimaha korontadu ay sare u kacday, qiimaha maciishada iyo wax soo saarka shirkadaha Yurub ayaa aad kor ugu kacay.Wakaalada wararka ee Reuters ayaa ku warantay in biilasha korontada ee dadka degani ay kordheen, isla markaana shirkadaha kiimikada iyo bacriminta ee Britain, Norway iyo wadamo kale ay hoos u dhigaan ama joojiyaan wax soo saarka midba midka kale.
Goldman Sachs ayaa ka digay in sare u kaca qiimaha korontadu ay kordhin doonto halista korontadda jiilaalkan.
02 Waddamada Yurub waxay ku dhawaaqeen tallaabooyin jawaab celin ah
Si loo yareeyo xaaladdan, dalal badan oo Yurub ah ayaa qaadaya tallaabooyin ay wax kaga qabanayaan.
Sida laga soo xigtay dhaqaaleyahan British ah iyo BBC, Spain iyo Britain ayaa ah wadamada ay sida weyn u saameysay kor u kaca qiimaha tamarta ee Yurub.Bishii Sebtembar, xukuumadda isbahaysiga ee uu hoggaamiyo Pedro Sanchez, Ra'iisul Wasaaraha xisbiga hantiwadaaga Isbaanishka, ayaa ku dhawaaqay tallaabooyin taxane ah oo looga gol leeyahay in lagu xakameeyo kororka kharashka tamarta.Waxa ka mid ah in la laalo cashuurta 7% ee tamarta korontada iyo in la dhimo heerka cashuurta lagu daray 21% ilaa 10% qaybta dambe ee sanadkan.Dawladdu waxay sidoo kale ku dhawaaqday inay si ku meel gaar ah u dhimayso faa'iidada xad dhaafka ah ee ay helaan shirkadaha tamarta.Dawladdu waxay sheegtay in hadafkeedu yahay in la dhimo kharashka korontada in ka badan 20% dhamaadka 2021.
Dhibaatada tamarta iyo dhibaatooyinka silsiladda sahayda ee ay keento brexit ayaa si gaar ah u saameeyay UK.Tan iyo bishii Ogosto, toban shirkadood oo gaaska ah oo ku yaal UK ayaa xidhay, taas oo saamaysay in ka badan 1.7 milyan oo macaamiil ah.Waqtigan xaadirka ah, dawladda Ingiriiska waxay qabanaysaa kulan degdeg ah oo ay la yeelanayso tiro ka mid ah alaab-qeybiyeyaasha tamarta si ay ugala hadlaan sidii loo caawin lahaa alaab-qeybiyeyaasha si ay ula qabsadaan dhibaatooyinka ay keenaan qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah ee rikoodhka ah.
Talyaaniga, oo boqolkiiba 40 ka hela tamarta gaaska dabiiciga ah, ayaa si gaar ah ugu nugul inuu sare u kaco qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah.Waqtigan xaadirka ah, dawladdu waxay ku bixisay ilaa 1.2 bilyan oo Yuuro si loo xakameeyo kor u kaca qiimaha tamarta qoyska waxayna ballan qaaday inay bixin doonto 3 bilyan oo Yuuro kale bilaha soo socda.
Ra'iisul Wasaare Mario Draghi ayaa sheegay in saddexda bilood ee soo socota, qaar ka mid ah kharashyada nidaamka asalka ah ee loogu yeero laga jari doono biilasha gaaska dabiiciga ah iyo korontada.Waxay ahayd inay kordhiyaan cashuuraha si ay uga caawiyaan u gudubka tamarta la cusboonaysiin karo.
Ra'iisul wasaaraha Faransiiska Jean Castel ayaa khudbad laga sii daayay 30-kii Sebtembar ku sheegay in dowladda Faransiiska ay xaqiijin doonto in qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah iyo korontada uusan kor u kicin ka hor dhammaadka jiilaalka.Intaa waxaa dheer, dawladda Faransiisku waxay sheegtay laba toddobaad ka hor in bishii Diseembar ee sanadkan, "cheg tamarta" dheeraad ah oo 100 euro ah qoyskiiba la siin doono qiyaastii 5.8 milyan oo qoys oo dakhligoodu yar yahay si loo yareeyo saameynta awoodda wax iibsiga qoyska.
Non EU Norway waa mid ka mid ah soo saarista saliidda iyo gaasta ugu weyn Yurub, laakiin inta badan waxaa loo isticmaalaa dhoofinta.Kaliya 1.4% korontada dalka waxaa ka dhalata shidaalka iyo qashinka, 5.8% tamarta dabaysha iyo 92.9% tamarta biyaha laga dhaliyo.Shirkadda tamarta siman ee Norway ayaa ogolaatay in la kordhiyo 2 bilyan cubic mitir oo gaasta dabiiciga ah la dhoofiyo sanadka 2022 si loo taageero baahida sii kordheysa ee Yurub iyo UK.
Iyadoo dawladaha Spain, Italy iyo wadamada kale ay ku baaqayaan in xiisadda tamarta lagu daro ajandaha shirwaynaha soo socda ee hogaamiyayaasha Midowga Yurub, Midowga Yurub wuxuu dejinayaa hagitaan ku saabsan tillaabooyinka yaraynta ee ay Dawladaha xubinta ka ah u qaadan karaan si madax-banaan iyada oo la eegayo baaxadda xeerarka EU.
Si kastaba ha ahaatee, BBC-da ayaa sheegtay in aysan jirin wax calaamad ah oo muujinaya in Midowga Yurub uu qaadi doono faragelin weyn oo diiradda la saarayo.
03 arrimood oo badan ayaa horseedaya sahay tamareed oo ciriiri ah, taasoo laga yaabo inaan la nafisin 2022
Maxaa keenay dhibaatada Yurub ee hadda?
Khubarada ayaa rumeysan in sare u kaca ku yimid qiimaha korontada ee Yurub ay keentay welwelka laga qabo korontada oo go’day, taasoo ay ugu wacan tahay isku dheelitir la’aanta u dhexeysa saadka iyo baahida.Iyada oo ay dunidu si tartiib-tartiib ah uga soo kabanayso cudurkan, wax-soo-saarkii dalalka qaar ayaan si buuxda uga soo kaban, baahidu waa xoog badan tahay, sahaydiina waa ku filnaan la’dahay, saadka iyo baahida ayaa ah mid aan dheeli tirnayn, taas oo walaac ka muujisay koronto la’aanta.
Koronto yaraanta Yurub ayaa sidoo kale la xiriirta qaab dhismeedka tamarta korontada.Cao Yuanzheng, oo ah guddoomiyaha hay'adda cilmi-baarista caalamiga ah ee BOC iyo cilmi-baare sare oo ka tirsan Machadka Maaliyadda ee Chongyang ee Jaamacadda Renmin ee Shiinaha, ayaa tilmaamay in saamiga tamarta tamarta nadiifka ah ee Yurub ay sii socoto inay korodho, laakiin sababtoo ah abaarta iyo cilladaha kale ee cimilada, qadarka Korontada dabaysha iyo tamarta tamarta biyaha ayaa hoos u dhacday.Si loo buuxiyo farqiga, baahida loo qabo tamarta kulaylka ayaa kor u kacday.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, maadaama tamarta nadiifka ah ee Yurub iyo Maraykanku ay weli ku jirto isbeddelka isbeddelka, unugyada tamarta kulaylka ee loo isticmaalo xaaladaha degdegga ah ee xiirashada kaydka kaydka ayaa xaddidan, iyo tamarta kulaylka laguma samayn karo wakhti gaaban, taas oo keentay farqiga xagga korontada.
Dhaqaale yahanka Ingiriiska ah ayaa sidoo kale sheegay in tamarta dabaysha ay ka dhigan tahay toban meelood meel meel qaab dhismeedka tamarta Yurub, taas oo laba jibaarantay wadamo uu ka mid yahay Ingiriiska.Si kastaba ha ahaatee, cimilo xumo dhawaanahan ayaa xaddiday awoodda dabaysha ee Yurub.
Marka la eego gaasta dabiiciga ah, gaaska dabiiciga ah ee Yurub sanadkan ayaa sidoo kale hoos u dhacay sidii la filayey, waxaana hoos u dhacay kaydka gaaska dabiiciga ah.Dhaqaale-yahanku waxa uu sheegay in Yurub ay la kulantay qabow iyo qabow dheer sannadkii hore, iyo agabka gaaska dabiiciga ah ayaa hoos u dhacay, qiyaastii 25% ka hooseeya kaydka celceliska muddada dheer.
Labada il ee ugu waaweyn ee Yurub laga keeno gaaska dabiiciga ah ayaa sidoo kale saameyn ku yeeshay.Qiyaastii saddex meelood meel gaaska dabiiciga ah ee Yurub waxaa keena Ruushka iyo shan meelood meel Norway, laakiin labada kanaal ee sahayda ayaa saameeya.Tusaale ahaan, dab ka kacay warshad warshadaysan oo ku taal Siberiya ayaa keentay in gaaska dabiiciga ahi ka yaraado sidii la filayey.Sida laga soo xigtay wakaaladda wararka ee Reuters, Norway, oo ah tan labaad ee bixisa gaasta dabiiciga ah ee ugu weyn Yurub, ayaa sidoo kale xaddidan dayactirka goobaha saliidda.
Sida xoogga ugu weyn ee koronto ee Yurub, sahayda gaaska dabiiciga ah kuma filna, korontadu sidoo kale waa la adkeeyay.Intaa waxaa dheer, oo ay saameysay cimilada aadka u daran, tamarta dib loo cusboonaysiin karo sida tamarta biyaha laga dhaliyo iyo tamarta dabaysha aan la dul dhigi karin, taasoo keentay in koronto yaraan aad u daran.
Falanqaynta Reuters ayaa aaminsan in kor u kaca rikoodhka qiimaha tamarta, gaar ahaan qiimaha gaaska dabiiciga ah, uu qiimaha korontada ee Yurub u horseeday heer sare sanado badan, xaaladani uma badna inay fududayso dhamaadka sanadka, iyo xitaa qaabka Tamarta cidhiidhiga ah lama yarayn doono 2022.
Bloomberg waxay sidoo kale saadaalisay in gaaska dabiiciga ah ee hooseeya ee Yurub, hoos u dhigista dhuumaha gaaska ee soo dejinta iyo baahida xooggan ee Aasiya ay ka dhigan tahay asalka qiimaha kor u kaca.Iyadoo dib u soo kabashada dhaqaalaha ee xilligii faafitaanka ka dib, hoos u dhigista wax soo saarka gudaha ee wadamada Yurub, tartanka ba'an ee suuqa caalamiga ah ee LNG, iyo kororka baahida tamarta tamarta gaaska ee ay sababtay isbedbedelka qiimaha kaarboonka, arrimahan ayaa laga yaabaa inay sii wadaan Gaaska dabiiciga ah ayaa ciriiri ku jira sanadka 2022.
Waqtiga boostada: Oct-13-2021
