Ingxaki yamandla iya isiba mandundu ngokufika kwengqele eqhaqhazelisa amazinyo, unikezelo lwamandla ehlabathi luvakala njengesilumkiso
Kutshanje, irhasi yendalo iye yaba yeyona nto iphambili kulo nyaka.Idatha yemarike ibonisa ukuba kunyaka odlulileyo, ixabiso le-LNG e-Asia liye lanyuka phantse i-600%;ukwanda kwegesi yendalo eYurophu koyikeka ngakumbi.Ixabiso ngoJulayi linyuke ngaphezu kwe-1,000% xa kuthelekiswa noMeyi kunyaka ophelileyo;kwaneUnited States, etyebe ngegesi yendalo, ayinakumelana noko., Ixabiso lerhasi lakha labetha kwelona nqanaba liphezulu kwiminyaka eyi-10 edlulileyo.
Kwangaxeshanye, ioli iye yantinga yaya kutsho kwinqanaba eliphezulu kwiminyaka eliqela.Ukususela ngo-9: 10 ngo-Okthobha 8, ixesha laseBeijing, i-Brent crude oil futures yenyuka ngaphezu kwe-1% ukuya kwi-82.82 yeedola ngomphanda, eyona iphakamileyo ukususela ngo-Oktobha 2018. Ngaloo mini, i-WTI ye-oyile ekrwada ikusasa iphumelele i-US $ 78 / umgqomo, owokuqala. ixesha ukususela ngoNovemba 2014.
Abanye abahlalutyi bakholelwa ukuba ingxaki yamandla inokuba mbi kakhulu ngokufika kobusika obuqhaqhazelis’ amazinyo, nto leyo ebangele ukuba kubekho ingxaki yokudodobala kwamandla ehlabathi.
Ngokutsho kwengxelo "Economic Daily", i-avareji ixabiso lombane kwi-whoseile eSpeyin nasePortugal ekuqaleni kukaSeptemba malunga izihlandlo ezithathu ixabiso avareji kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezidlulileyo, 175 euro MWh nganye;ixabiso lombane wehoseyile yeTTF yaseDatshi yayingama-74.15 euros nge-MWh nganye.Amaxesha ama-4 aphezulu kunoMatshi;Amaxabiso ombane wase-UK afikelele kwirekhodi ephezulu ye-183.84 euros.
Ukunyuka okuthe gqolo kwamaxabiso egesi yendalo “ngunobangela” wengxaki yombane yaseYurophu.I-Chicago Mercantile Exchange kaHenry Hub yerhasi yendalo yexesha elizayo kunye ne-Dutch Title Transfer Centre (TTF) yerhasi yendalo yexesha elizayo zezona ziphatho zimbini zehlabathi zokumisela amaxabiso erhasi yendalo.Okwangoku, amaxabiso ekhontrakthi ka-Oktobha omabini afikelele kwelona nqanaba liphezulu lonyaka.Idatha ibonisa ukuba ixabiso legesi yendalo e-Asia liye lanyuka ngamaxesha e-6 kunyaka odlulileyo, iYurophu inyuke ngamaxesha angama-10 kwiinyanga ze-14, kwaye amaxabiso e-United States afikelele kwindawo ephezulu kwiminyaka eyi-10.
Intlanganiso yabaphathiswa be-EU ekupheleni kukaSeptemba ixoxe ngokukodwa umba wokunyuka kwamaxabiso erhasi yendalo kunye nombane.Abaphathiswa bavumile ukuba imeko ekhoyo ngoku "kwixesha elinzima" kwaye bagxeka imeko engaqhelekanga yokunyuka kwe-280% yexabiso legesi yendalo kulo nyaka kwinqanaba eliphantsi lokugcinwa kwegesi yendalo kunye nokunikezelwa kweRashiya.Izithintelo, ukuveliswa kwamandla ahlaziyekayo aphantsi kunye nomjikelo wempahla phantsi kokunyuka kwamaxabiso zizinto ezininzi.
Amanye amazwe angamalungu e-EU aqulunqa ngokukhawuleza amanyathelo okukhusela abathengi: ISpeyin ixhasa abathengi ngokunciphisa iirhafu zombane kunye nokubuyisela imali kwiinkampani eziluncedo;IFransi ibonelela ngenkxaso-mali yamandla kunye nokunciphisa irhafu kumakhaya ahluphekileyo;I-Italiya neGrisi iqwalasela izibonelelo okanye ukumisela ixabiso lexabiso kunye namanye amanyathelo okukhusela abemi kwimpembelelo yokunyuka kweendleko zombane, ngelixa liqinisekisa nokusebenza okuqhelekileyo kwecandelo likarhulumente.
Kodwa ingxaki kukuba igesi yendalo iyinxalenye ebalulekileyo yesakhiwo samandla saseYurophu kwaye ixhomekeke kakhulu kwizinto zaseRashiya.Oku kuxhomekeka kuye kwaba yingxaki enkulu kumazwe amaninzi xa amaxabiso exhomile.
I-International Energy Agency ikholelwa ukuba kwihlabathi lehlabathi jikelele, iingxaki zokunikezelwa kwamandla zinokuthi zixhaphake kwaye zide ixesha elide, ngakumbi kumxholo weemeko eziphuthumayo ezenza umonakalo kwi-chain chain kunye nokunciphisa utyalo-mali lwe-fossil ekuphenduleni utshintsho lwemozulu.
Okwangoku, amandla avuselelekayo aseYurophu akakwazi ukuzalisa umsantsa kwimfuno yamandla.Idatha ibonisa ukuba ukususela ngo-2020, imithombo yamandla avuselelekayo yaseYurophu ivelise i-38% yombane we-EU, idlula amafutha e-fossil okokuqala kwimbali, kwaye ibe ngumthombo oyintloko wombane waseYurophu.Nangona kunjalo, nakwiimeko zemozulu ezintle kakhulu, umoya kunye namandla elanga awakwazi ukuvelisa umbane owaneleyo ukuhlangabezana ne-100% yemfuno yonyaka.
Ngokophononongo olwenziwa nguBruegel, itanki yokucinga enkulu ye-EU, kwixesha elifutshane ukuya kweliphakathi, amazwe e-EU aya kuthi ngakumbi okanye ngaphantsi aqhubeleke nokujongana neengxaki zamandla phambi kokuba iibhetri ezinkulu zokugcina amandla ahlaziyekayo ziphuhliswe.
IBritane: ukunqongophala kwamafutha, ukungabikho kwabaqhubi!
Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso egesi yendalo kuye kwenza kwanzima e-UK.
Ngokweengxelo, ixabiso le-wholesale yegesi yendalo e-UK linyuke ngaphezu kwe-250% phakathi nonyaka, kwaye abaninzi ababoneleli abangakhange basayine izivumelwano zexabiso lexesha elide baye bafumana ilahleko enkulu ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Ukusukela ngo-Agasti, ngaphezu kweshumi elinesibini legesi yendalo okanye iinkampani zamandla e-UK ziye zabhengeza ngokungenamali okanye zanyanzeliswa ukuba zivale ishishini labo, okukhokelela ekubeni ngaphezulu kwe-1.7 yezigidi zabathengi abaphulukene nabanikezeli babo, kwaye uxinzelelo kushishino lwamandla luye lwaqhubeka nokunyuka. .
Iindleko zokusebenzisa amandla ukuvelisa umbane nazo zonyukile.Njengoko iingxaki zokubonelela kunye nemfuno ziye zabonakala ngakumbi, ixabiso lombane e-UK liye lanyuka ngaphezu kwamaxesha e-7 xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka odlulileyo, ngokuthe ngqo ukubeka irekhodi eliphezulu ukususela ngo-1999. iivenkile ezinkulu e-UK zaphangwa ngokuthe ngqo luluntu.
Ukunqongophala kwabasebenzi okubangelwa yi-“Brexit” kunye nobhubhani omtsha wesithsaba kuye kwandise uxinezeleko kwikhonkco lonikezelo lwe-UK.
Isiqingatha sezitishi zerhasi e-UK azinarhasi yokuzalisa kwakhona.Urhulumente wase-Bhritane uye wandisa ngokukhawuleza ii-visa zabaqhubi abangama-5,000 bamazwe angaphandle ukuya ku-2022, kwaye ngo-Okthobha 4, ixesha lasekhaya, wahlanganisa malunga nama-200 amajoni ukuba athathe inxaxheba ekusebenzeni kokuthutha amafutha.Nangona kunjalo, iingcali zikholelwa ukuba ingxaki kunzima ukuyicombulula ngokupheleleyo kwixesha elifutshane.
Ehlabathini lonke: Kwingxaki yamandla?
Ayingomazwe aseYurophu kuphela athwaxwa ziingxaki zamandla, amanye amazwe asakhasayo kwezoqoqosho, kwaneUnited States, eyona ndawo iphambili ekuthengiseni amandla kumazwe angaphandle, ayikhuselekanga.
Ngokutsho kweBloomberg News, eyona mbalela imbi yaseBrazil kwiminyaka engama-91 ikhokelele ekuwohlokeni kokuveliswa kombane ngamanzi.Ukuba ukuthengwa kombane osuka e-Uruguay naseArgentina akunyuswanga, kunokunyanzela ilizwe laseMzantsi Melika ukuba liqalise ukukhawulela ukunikezelwa kombane.
Ukuze kuncitshiswe ukuwa kombane wombane, iBrazil iqalisa iijenereyitha zerhasi yendalo ukuze ihlawule ilahleko ebangelwe kukuveliswa kombane ngamanzi.Oku kunyanzela urhulumente ukuba akhuphisane namanye amazwe kurhwebo lwerhasi yendalo yehlabathi jikelele, nto leyo enokuthi ngokungathanga ngqo inyuse amaxabiso erhasi yendalo kwakhona.
Kwelinye icala lehlabathi, iIndiya nayo ixhalabile ngombane.
I-Nomura Financial Consulting and Securities India economist u-Aurodeep Nandi uthe ishishini lamandla laseIndiya lijongene nesaqhwithi esigqibeleleyo: imfuno ephezulu, unikezelo oluphantsi lwasekhaya, kwaye akukho kuzaliswa kwakhona kwe-inventri ngokuthengwa kwamanye amazwe.
Kwangaxeshanye, ixabiso lamalahle e-Indonesia, omnye wababoneleli bamalahle abakhulu baseIndiya, lenyuke ukusuka kwi-US$60 ngetoni ngoMatshi ukuya kwi-US$200 ngetoni nganye ngoSeptemba, icinezela ukuthengwa kwamalahle e-India.Ukuba unikezelo alugcwaliswa kwangexesha, iIndiya kusenokufuneka icuthe ubonelelo lombane kumashishini asebenzisa amandla amakhulu kunye nezakhiwo zokuhlala.
Njengomthumeli omkhulu werhasi yendalo ngaphandle, iUnited States ikwangumthengisi obalulekileyo werhasi yendalo eYurophu.Ukuchaphazeleka yiNkanyamba i-Ida ekupheleni kuka-Agasti, kungekhona nje ukunikezelwa kwegesi yendalo eYurophu kuye kwaphazamiseka, kodwa nexabiso lombane wokuhlala e-United States liphinde lavuka.
Ukunciphisa ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni kuneengcambu ezinzulu kwaye i-hemisphere esenyakatho ingene ebusika obubandayo.Ngelixa umthamo wokuvelisa umbane we-thermal ucuthiwe, imfuno yombane inyukile ngokwenene, nto leyo eye yandisa ngakumbi isithuba sombane.Amaxabiso ombane anyuke ngokukhawuleza kumazwe amaninzi kwihlabathi jikelele.Amaxabiso ombane e-UK anyuke izihlandlo ezili-10.Njengommeli obalaseleyo wamandla avuselelekayo, umbane wokusingqongileyo kunye ne-low-carbon hydropower unenzuzo enkulu ngeli xesha.Kumxholo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwimarike yamandla yamazwe ngamazwe, Ukuphuhlisa ngamandla iiprojekthi zombane wamanzi, kunye nokusebenzisa amandla ombane ukuvala isithuba semarike esishiywe kukuncitshiswa kokuveliswa kombane oshushu.
Ixesha lokuposa: Oct-12-2021
